Tuesday 11 August 2015

Brian Rushton Generation Jeremy

Brian Rushton,

IN LABOUR'S leadership election in 2010, the party's overall electorate may have picked the soft-left Ed Miliband, but its membership—one of the three parts of the college of voters—backed his brother, David, the most centrist of the five candidates. Yet five years and another crushing election defeat later, as another Labour leadership contest approaches its culmination, the opposite seems to be happening. The party's members and affiliated supporters—which dominate the new one-member-one-vote electoral system—appear overwhelmingly to prefer Jeremy Corbyn, the most left-wing of the four candidates, to his rivals. That much was clear from polling by YouGov published by The Times today. The new data also shed some light on the question puzzling Labour insiders: why has Mr Corbyn done so well among a group that backed the "Blairite" elder Miliband only five years earlier?

To replicate Labour's fiddly electoral system, YouGov asked respondents to list the candidates in order of preference. Liz Kendall, the ideological heir to David Miliband's campaign in 2010, received the fewest "first preference" voters, so was knocked out. In...Continue reading

via Brian Rushton, Generation Jeremy

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